BlackPacific Capital  - Tactical Investment Management

Recent Posts

The Big Lie Part 3: Stuck in Purgatory
The 500lb Gorilla in the Room
The Big Lie: Intro
The Saga Continues; Big Risks and Little Spare Capacity
They Say There Is A Lack In Demand


Weekly Market Assessment
powered by

BlackPacific Capital

What Goes Up Must Come Down

Weekly Market Assessment
What goes up must come down! What was an unbelievable rally in the market in October seems to have reached a point of exhaustion. After hitting the lows in August and rallying all the way back to even for the year, we seem to have reached a short term peak in the market. The culprit for making this week one of the worst in just under three months...the good ole Federal Reserve! Of course the on again, off again remarks along with market data that suggest that they may be a December rate hike has the market worrying that it "may" happen this time. Will the market take another dive before the meeting or will we remain in a trading range, frustrating traders that are looking for market direction and trying to position themselves before the meeting. What are we going to be talking about when the Federal Reserve finally removes its hand over the market? Bill Clinton I guess said it best, "It's the economy, stupid." Is it possible to look past the long awaited rate hike and realize that "if" they do hike it will only be 25 basis points or is the market truly not ready for such a thing. Has this whole rate hike talk only been an excuse to sell the market, giving those that look past it another great opportunity to buy assets at discounted prices. There are going to be tons of questions when it finally happens and I have a feeling that when it happens it wont be as bad as we have been making it out to be! 

The buy the dip mentality continues to remain as the most simple but hardest thing to do in this market! The old saying goes, the bigger the risk the bigger the reward. However the tolerance for risk is something not many understand because when it arrives, most hit the exit button. Over the last five years there have been numerous times where the market sells off and the reminder of 2008/09 comes right back into the spotlight. This is what the market does to us, it reminds us, if we lived through them, of that time and the mere thought paralyzes us to not step in and take that risk of buying on corrections. It seems physically impossible to do when the event is actually taking place. Fear and panic sets in and overwhelms the mind with just one thought, get out! The market has an evil trait where it wants to inflict the most pain on the most amount of people before it lets up and changes its mind. This last paragraph may come off as if we are in a major selloff, we aren't, however if you look towards the commodity markets and especially crude oil this paragraph is very relevant to those who are investing in it. So here is to the buy the dip investors and the investors willing to take on risk looking for the big reward!         

Making the Watchlist: Below are the stocks that I will be looking at over the coming months.  I will provide the the current stock price and why I am watching them. I will comment on them as I continue to keep an eye on them.  You will be able to see and follow their growth and/or decline. Chart links may be attached.        

See What I'm Trading:You can now view all my real-time trades by following this link, BlackPacific Capital1 and BPC2 This new site shows my trades, in real time the minute they are bought and sold. Below you can also click on the stock symbols, trade strategy or prices which will lead you to this new site. The site offers a full risk/return profile and video detailing the strategy of the trade. Note: When looking at the option positions every contract equals 100 shares.     

BlackPacific Capital has created three funds. The first is the Total Return Fund and the other is the Growth Fund. Both of these funds will be compared against the S&P 500. Both will hold a total of no more than five companies each. The Total Return Fund is a low turnover fund where every holding must have a dividend and be undervalued to its peers. The growth fund is made up of momentum high growth stocks where the turnover rate is much higher. Below are their Weekly and Year to Date returns. For more information and to see the holdings in each fund click here
New holdings and liquidated positions: -11/17- GPRO was added to the Growth Fund at $21-11/12- AIG was added to the Total Return Fund at 59.50, while locking in a dividend yield at 1.88% 

S&P 500 Return 
Week: -1.53%
Year to Date: -3.5% 

Year to Date: -1.23% 

Week: -9.2%
Year to Date: -6.5%

7 Comments to What Goes Up Must Come Down :

Comments RSS
rolex replica on Sunday, June 11, 2017 11:04 PM
Rolex makes you to be noticed in the crowd also.
Reply to comment on Tuesday, September 10, 2019 4:13 AM
Very unique concept blog on “What goes up must come down”. Keep sharing! on Thursday, September 12, 2019 3:42 AM
Worth reading here on weekly market assessment. I did not have more knowledge about it. So thanks for improving our knowledge by writing such an amazing blog. on Sunday, October 14, 2018 8:00 AM
If you are doing the job and you don't get satisfaction then please leave it because it doesn't give you any relief in the life. Do what you want in life and follow your passion.
Reply to comment on Monday, September 16, 2019 3:00 AM
Valuable post on Weekly Market Assessment which is especially crude oil this paragraph is very relevant to those who are investing in it. Love this informative post.

PT Suryaraya Gatratama on Wednesday, February 06, 2019 7:15 AM
Dasha merokok dari kelas satu dan dengan hati-hati link 9 agen astm a283 c agen pipa boiler agen plat abrex 400 agen plat asme516 grade70 agen plat astm a285 c agen plat astm516 70 agen plat boiler agen plat hardox agen plat hb 400 agen plat high strenght agen plat high tensile sm490 yb agen plat high tensile sm490ya agen plat kapal agen plat stainless ss304 agen plat stainless ss310 agen plat stainless ss316 agen plat sumihard agen round bar besi aisi 440s45c agen round bar scm440 agen steel rail agen steel sheet pile distributor astm a283 c distributor pipa boiler distributor plat abrex 400 distributor plat asme516 grade70 distributor plat astm a285 c distributor plat astm516 70 distributor plat boiler distributor plat hb 400 distributor plat high strenght distributor plat high tensile sm490 yb distributor plat high tensile sm490ya distributor plat kapal distributor plat stainless ss304 distributor plat stainless ss310 distributor plat stainless ss316 distributor plat sumihard distributor round bar besi aisi 440s45c distributor round bar scm440 distributor steel rail distributor steel sheet pile jual astm a283 c jual baja h beam jual pipa boiler jual plat abrex 400 jual plat asme516 grade70 jual plat astm a285 c jual plat astm516 70 jual plat boiler jual plat hardox jual plat hb 400 jual plat high strenght jual plat high tensile sm490 yb jual plat high tensile sm490ya jual plat kapal jual plat stainless ss304 jual plat stainless ss310 jual plat stainless ss316 jual plat sumihard jual round bar besi aisi 440s45c jual round bar scm440 jual steel rail jual steel sheet pile pabrik astm a283 c pabrik pipa boiler pabrik plat abrex 400 pabrik plat asme516 grade70 pabrik plat astm516 70 pabrik plat boiler pabrik plat hb 400 pabrik plat high tensile sm490 yb pabrik plat high tensile sm490ya pabrik plat kapal pabrik plat stainless ss304 pabrik plat stainless ss310 pabrik round bar besi aisi 440s45c pabrik round bar scm440 pabrik steel rail pabrik steel sheet pile pusat astm a283 c pusat pipa boiler pusat plat abrex 400 pusat plat asme516 grade70 pusat plat astm a285 c pusat plat astm516 70 pusat plat boiler pusat plat hardox pusat plat hb 400 pusat plat high strenght pusat plat high tensile sm490 yb pusat plat high tensile sm490ya pusat plat kapal pusat plat stainless ss304 pusat plat stainless ss310 pusat plat stainless ss316 pusat plat sumihard pusat round bar besi aisi 440s45c pusat round bar scm440 pusat steel rail pusat steel sheet pile stockis plat hardox stockist plat astm a285 c stockist plat high strenght stockist plat stainless ss316 stockist plat sumihard supplier plat hardox plat stainless ss201 plat sphc po plat putih spcc sd plat hitam ss400 plat hitam sphc plat corten plat astm a36 plat alumunium plat abrex 500 plat abrex 450 plain bar pipa sch80 pipa sch40 pipa sch160 pipa sch120 pipa sch10 pipa medium galvanis perforated plate grating size galvanis expanded metal deformed bar besi wiremesh besi unp besi cnp besi baja wfbeam baja h beam
Reply to comment

Billy G. Walker on Thursday, June 27, 2019 3:56 AM
While most of the traits focus on how entrepreneurs engage with their surroundings, it’s also important to note how strong leaders take care of themselves Click Here For More Information.
Reply to comment

Add a Comment

Your Name:
Email Address: (Required)
Make your text bigger, bold, italic and more with HTML tags. We'll show you how.
Post Comment